The World in 2050 00:00:00
John Bongaarts: Human Population Growth and the Demographic Transition 00:07:02
Outline 00:08:15
World population size 00:08:50
Population trends by region 00:09:53
Adverse effects of rapid population growth 00:12:10
Life expectancy by region 00:13:10
Fertility trends 00:14:53
Population by age: Italy 00:16:31
Old age dependency ratio (65+/15-64) 00:17:07
Population by age: Mexico 00:18:15
Working age population (%) 00:19:03
Political implications of a young age structure 00:21:09
Percent of population <25 by region, 2005 00:22:04
Youth (15-24) by country (1950=1) 00:22:49
Why population growth continues in the developing world 00:23:49
Components of population growth, Pakistan 00:25:14
Wanted and unwanted fertility 00:26:08
Causes of growth and policy options 00:27:04
Conclusions 00:28:21
Discussion 00:28:49
Alex Ezeh:Stalled Fertility Decline in Eastern Africa: Evidence and Implications 00:40:00
Outline 00:41:13
Overview 00:41:57
Overview Data and Methods 00:45:16
Models for explaining the stall 00:46:04
Trends in TFR - National 00:48:07
Transition & Stall by SE Characteristics, Kenya 1988-1993 & 1998-2003 00:49:42
Fertility Stall and Changing Reproductive Behavior, Kenya 1998-2003 00:52:31
Number of children per woman in Kenya National 1993, 1998, 2003 00:55:18
Fertility & Ideal family size by wealth status 00:55:56
Summary of key findings 00:56:50
Changes in Future Population Projections before and after the Stall in Fertility Decline 00:58:38
The Quantum of Momentum - Cost of Delayed Action 00:59:54
Reflections 01:01:15
Discussion 01:03:19