1. The World in 2050

2. John Bongaarts:Human Population Growth and the Demographic Transition

3. Outline

4. World population size

5. Population trends by region

6. Adverse effects of rapid population growth

7. Life expectancy by region

8. Fertility trends

9. Population by age: Italy

10. Old age dependency ratio (65+/15-64)

11. Population by age: Mexico

12. Working age population (%)

13. Political implications of a young age structure

14. Percent of population <25 by region, 2005

15. Youth (15-24) by country (1950=1)

16. Why population growth continues in the developing world

17. Components of population growth, Pakistan

18. Wanted and unwanted fertility

19. Causes of growth and policy options

20. Conclusions

21. Discussion

22. Alex Ezeh:Stalled Fertility Decline in Eastern Africa: Evidence and Implications

23. Outline

24. Overview

25. Overview – Data and Methods

26. Models for explaining the stall

27. Trends in TFR - National

28. Transition & Stall by SE Characteristics, Kenya 1988-1993 & 1998-2003

29. Fertility Stall and Changing Reproductive Behavior, Kenya 1998-2003

30. Number of children per woman in Kenya – National 1993, 1998, 2003

31. Fertility & Ideal family size by wealth status

32. Summary of key findings

33. Changes in Future Population Projections before and after the Stall in Fertility Decline

34. The Quantum of Momentum - Cost of Delayed Action

35. Reflections

36. Discussion