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1. Declining Populations |
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2. Population Decline |
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3. Countries and Territories Experiencing Population Decline as of 2007: U.S. Census Bureau Estimates and Projections |
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4. Births, Deaths, and Natural Increase in Population: Russian Federation, 1960-2007 |
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![Click to View: 5. Estimated “Excess Mortality” in Russia, 1992-2006 [Benchmarked against Russian Mortality Schedules for 1986/87; rounded]](tslide_5_6.png)
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5. Estimated “Excess Mortality” in Russia, 1992-2006 [Benchmarked against Russian Mortality Schedules for 1986/87; rounded] |
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6. Total Fertility Rate of Less Than 2.1: U.S. Census Bureau Projections for the World, 2008 |
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7. How Much Of Humanity Currently Lives in Places With Fertility Levels Below Replacement? Some Recent Estimates, Approximations and Projections |
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8. TFR, 1950/55 – 2005/2010 |
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9. How Low Can We Go? We Don’t Know! Total Fertility Rates for Japan and “Asian Tigers”, 1975-2007 |
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10. But we do know fertility rates can turn on a dime… Total Fertility Rate: Iran, 1972-2000 |
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11. Population Living in Countries Experiencing Population Decline |
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12. World Population Living in Countries w/NRR <1 |
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13. Germany’s Population Prospects 1950-2050, As Assessed by the German Federal Statistical Office in 2006 |
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14. Germany 2005 vs. 2050 |
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15. Italy 2005 vs. 2050 |
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16. Japan 2005 vs. 2050 |
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17. “Replacement Migration”? Average Annual Net Number of Migrants between 2000 and 2050, per Million Inhabitants in 2000, by UNPD Scenario and Country or Region |
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18. Someone Has To Live There “Replacement Migration”: Per cent of post-1995 migrants and their descendants in total population in 2050, by scenario and country or region |
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![Click to View: 19. Graying Societies: Made by Babies Illustrative Percentages of Population 65+: Stable Populations, Coale-Demeny “West Model”, With Alternative Fertility (GRR) and Mortality (LE) Schedules {Population structures with over 12% over 65 in boldface]](tslide_19_20.png)
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19. Graying Societies: Made by Babies Illustrative Percentages of Population 65+: Stable Populations, Coale-Demeny “West Model”, With Alternative Fertility (GRR) and Mortality (LE) Schedules {Population structures with over 12% over 65 in boldface] |
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20. Where Have All The Families Gone? Population Structure of Shanghai: 2000 (Shaded) vs. 2040 (projected) |
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21. Will Demographic Differentiation Mean International Discord? |
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22. Declining populations |
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23. Projected number of countries with deaths exceeding births |
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24. Countries with population reductions exceeding one million, 2005-2050 |
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25. Countries with population reductions exceeding 15 per cent, 2005-2050 |
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26. Russian Federation: population by broad age groups 2005 and 2050 |
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27. Bulgaria: population by broad age groups 2005 and 2050 |
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28. Discussion |
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