Population, Poverty, and Economic Development 00:00:00
Steven Sinding: Population, Poverty and Economic Development 00:01:30
Debates about the relationship between high fertility/RPG and economic development/poverty 00:05:48
Broad consensus today that rising prosperity yields lower fertility and declining population growth rate 00:07:06
What do we know - macro? 00:07:53
Malthus vs Marx 00:08:03
3 stages of thinking in the modern era 00:08:53
The importance of age structure 00:15:10
What do we know - micro? 00:15:28
Micro studies are fewer because good data are hard and expensive to collect.. 00:15:39
What do we know - micro? 00:16:12
Population growth, high fertility and the MDGs 00:17:31
Figure 1 00:17:42
Trends and prospects 00:18:13
Percentage living on less than $1/day 00:18:17
Poverty decline in Asia 00:18:24
World Bank 00:18:42
Africa 00:19:45
Conclusion 00:20:00
Wolfgang Lutz: Sola Schola et Sanitate: Human Capital as the Root Cause and Priority for International Development? 00:20:37
Why a Latin motto and what does it mean? 00:20:56
International Development Policy is in a State of Confusion 00:22:46
Hypothesis: Human capital is the root cause of international development 00:25:19
Mortality under age 5 by mothers education (Source: DHS) 00:28:19
Total Fertility Rates by Level of Education 00:29:12
Population by Age, Sex, and Educational Attainment in Republic of Korea, 2000 00:29:25
Population by Age, Sex, and Educational Attainment in Republic of Korea, 1970 00:31:04
Advantages of this reconstructed data set over other existing ones 00:31:37
Human Capital vs. Process of Education 00:32:59
Principles of Population Projection by age, sex, and education 00:33:50
World Population by Age, Sex and Educational Attainment in 1970 00:33:56
World Population by Age, Sex and Educational Attainment in 2010 00:34:02
World Population by Age, Sex and Educational Attainment in 2050 00:34:13
Alternative Education Scenarios to 2050 00:34:31
Kenya 2000 00:34:36
Kenya 1970 00:34:50
Kenya 2050 - Fast Track Scenario 00:34:58
Kenya 2050 - Global Education Trend 00:35:12
Kenya 2050 - Constant Enrollment Rates 00:35:24
Kenya 2050 - Constant Absolute Enrollment Numbers 00:35:43
Lessons 00:35:58
The changing human capital distribution in the world 00:36:52
Based on the new IIASA-VID Educational Attainment data set.. 00:37:19
Education and Democracy 00:38:15
Systems Models 00:38:28
National Success Stories 00:38:53
Alfred Sauvy, 1958 book 00:39:06
Conclusions 00:39:57
David Canning: Comment: Population and Poverty, Human Capital 00:43:55
Population Crowding 00:44:11
Components of Population Growth 00:45:19
Mortality Reductions - Health to Wealth: Mechanisms 00:47:31
Health and Saving 00:49:04
The role of fertility 00:49:56
Fertility and steady state working age share (theory) 00:51:06
Total fertility rates and working age shares in 2000 00:52:15
Sub-Saharan Africa's population 00:52:45
East Asia's Population 00:53:27
Population and Poverty 00:54:14
Human Capital 00:56:29
Discussion 00:57:33